Posted by
ClearCommentary.com on Thursday, May 08, 2008 2:52:43 PM
With strong political cross currents working against Republican presidential candidate John McCain, and with Senator Obama cast as the 'transformational candidate,' the Illinois senator should be coasting to an easy victory. The problem is that the headwinds of the Iraq war, the economy, and the housing and financial 'crises,' are issues that have been whipped into an emotional froth by the media, and forced to remain on stage far longer than productive for Democrats.
Americans have always been ambivalent about war because of the huge costs in blood and treasure. But once we've engaged the enemy, with the notable exception of Vietnam, we've fought to victory. That's largely a matter of political momentum, abetted by national pride, both of which are playing against Senator McCain. That stated, by the same margin, Americans who say they want us out of Iraq, understand we must stay if leaving means a regional implosion.
Although President Bush is a lame duck, he's vowed to veto the politically motivated legislation that Congress will vote on today, to 'rescue' the housing markets. For all his ill-advised tinkering with markets, Mr. Bush apparently understands that the housing market has already begun a broad correction, and the same goes for the economy and our financial markets, all well before the 'stimulus' checks were delivered.
Add to this mix the fact that Obama has obliged both Clinton and McCain by repeatedly proving he's a political novice, not to mention the glimpses we're getting of his wife, Michelle's remarkably divisive rants, and you have a formula for yet another Republican victory in November.
What's lacking in both Obama and Clinton is the kind of 'new Democrat' platform that President Clinton ran on. Both these candidates have pledged higher corporate taxes, with Clinton vowing to "take" the profits from the oil companies, and oil company executives have responded by saying they'll have to dramatically reduce research and development: Do Obama and Clinton think that will reduce our price at the pump?
In the arena of health care, they've pledged some version of a government sponsored program, which is a slow march towards European style socialist models, which can only drive up costs and inhibit access. On social issues, both candidates are avowed supporters of partial birth abortion, which former Democratic intellectual heavy weight, Senator Patrick Moynihan correctly described as "infanticide." Moreover, both have an elitist's understanding of the 2nd Amendment, which doesn't advance the ball beyond Senator Kerry's laughable duck hunting photo-op.
The list is endless, but it highlights the central facts in this election: The left has two candidates who are mired in the old-style Democratic policies of race and gender, which oppose free markets that, as Jack Kennedy said, "raise all boats," are skittish about a robust military, and are convinced that interminable diplomacy is the best antidote for the likes of Iran's Ahmadinejad.
These are battles Republicans will be glad to join.